Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams commands trader consensus at 77% implied probability in the UT-01 Democratic primary due to his fundraising dominance—over $1.5 million raised by late April—name recognition from his 2019–2021 House tenure, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% among likely primary voters. Challenger Nate Blouin trails at 15.5% on progressive credentials like a prior Bernie Sanders endorsement, despite past controversies over old comments. Newcomer Liban Mohamed's 6.9% reflects a narrow April 25 state convention endorsement win via ranked-choice voting (51–49% over McAdams), energizing grassroots delegates but not yet swaying broader sentiment amid undecideds (25% in early poll). Utah's open primary system on June 23 enables unaffiliated crossover voting, favoring McAdams' moderate appeal in the redrawn Democratic-leaning district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBen McAdams 77%
Nate Blouin 16%
Liban Mohamed 7.3%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,880 Vol.
$29,880 Vol.
Ben McAdams
77%
Nate Blouin
16%
Liban Mohamed
7%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Ben McAdams 77%
Nate Blouin 16%
Liban Mohamed 7.3%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,880 Vol.
$29,880 Vol.
Ben McAdams
77%
Nate Blouin
16%
Liban Mohamed
7%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams commands trader consensus at 77% implied probability in the UT-01 Democratic primary due to his fundraising dominance—over $1.5 million raised by late April—name recognition from his 2019–2021 House tenure, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% among likely primary voters. Challenger Nate Blouin trails at 15.5% on progressive credentials like a prior Bernie Sanders endorsement, despite past controversies over old comments. Newcomer Liban Mohamed's 6.9% reflects a narrow April 25 state convention endorsement win via ranked-choice voting (51–49% over McAdams), energizing grassroots delegates but not yet swaying broader sentiment amid undecideds (25% in early poll). Utah's open primary system on June 23 enables unaffiliated crossover voting, favoring McAdams' moderate appeal in the redrawn Democratic-leaning district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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