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icon for What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?

<344k 89%

348 - 349k 45%

347 - 348k 45%

351 - 353k 37%

Polymarket
NEU

<344k 89%

348 - 349k 45%

347 - 348k 45%

351 - 353k 37%

Polymarket
NEU

<344k

$329 Vol.

78%

344 - 345k

$20 Vol.

9%

345 - 347k

$20 Vol.

8%

347 - 348k

$20 Vol.

45%

348 - 349k

$20 Vol.

45%

349 - 351k

$20 Vol.

6%

351 - 353k

$20 Vol.

37%

>353k

$20 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)Recent Zillow data place Chicago’s typical home value at approximately $324,183 as of late April 2026, reflecting a modest 3.1 percent year-over-year increase amid persistently tight inventory and mixed sales volumes. This trajectory, coupled with limited seasonal acceleration into late May and broader mortgage-rate stability above 6 percent, has anchored trader consensus around the sub-$344,000 outcome at 78.5 percent implied probability. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital at risk and continue to price in only modest further appreciation through month-end, consistent with the 4–5 percent annual growth forecasts issued by local real-estate associations earlier this year.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
Volumen
$469
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)Recent Zillow data place Chicago’s typical home value at approximately $324,183 as of late April 2026, reflecting a modest 3.1 percent year-over-year increase amid persistently tight inventory and mixed sales volumes. This trajectory, coupled with limited seasonal acceleration into late May and broader mortgage-rate stability above 6 percent, has anchored trader consensus around the sub-$344,000 outcome at 78.5 percent implied probability. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital at risk and continue to price in only modest further appreciation through month-end, consistent with the 4–5 percent annual growth forecasts issued by local real-estate associations earlier this year.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
Volumen
$469
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<344k" mit 78%, gefolgt von „347 - 348k" mit 45%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 78¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 78% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?" ist „<344k" mit 78%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 78% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „347 - 348k" mit 45%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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