Incumbent Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville's May 2025 decision to seek the governorship opened Alabama's Senate seat, fueling a competitive GOP primary on May 19 where Rep. Barry Moore leads recent polls like Remington Research (May 3–7) at 23% over Jared Hudson (20%) and Steve Marshall (16%). Trader consensus at 94% for a Republican victory reflects Alabama's deep-red status—Trump won by 30 points in 2024—and historical precedent, with Republicans holding both seats since 2021 and no competitive Democrat emerging from a fragmented primary field including Kyle Sweetser and Dakarai Larriett. A GOP win aligns with polling trends and weak opposition; upset scenarios like a post-primary scandal on the nominee or extraordinary Democratic turnout remain low-probability outliers ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$10,160 Vol.
$10,160 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
94%
Demócrata
6%
$10,160 Vol.
$10,160 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$6,336 Vol.
94%
Demócrata
$3,823 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville's May 2025 decision to seek the governorship opened Alabama's Senate seat, fueling a competitive GOP primary on May 19 where Rep. Barry Moore leads recent polls like Remington Research (May 3–7) at 23% over Jared Hudson (20%) and Steve Marshall (16%). Trader consensus at 94% for a Republican victory reflects Alabama's deep-red status—Trump won by 30 points in 2024—and historical precedent, with Republicans holding both seats since 2021 and no competitive Democrat emerging from a fragmented primary field including Kyle Sweetser and Dakarai Larriett. A GOP win aligns with polling trends and weak opposition; upset scenarios like a post-primary scandal on the nominee or extraordinary Democratic turnout remain low-probability outliers ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$10,160Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville's May 2025 decision to seek the governorship opened Alabama's Senate seat, fueling a competitive GOP primary on May 19 where Rep. Barry Moore leads recent polls like Remington Research (May 3–7) at 23% over Jared Hudson (20%) and Steve Marshall (16%). Trader consensus at 94% for a Republican victory reflects Alabama's deep-red status—Trump won by 30 points in 2024—and historical precedent, with Republicans holding both seats since 2021 and no competitive Democrat emerging from a fragmented primary field including Kyle Sweetser and Dakarai Larriett. A GOP win aligns with polling trends and weak opposition; upset scenarios like a post-primary scandal on the nominee or extraordinary Democratic turnout remain low-probability outliers ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,160Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville's May 2025 decision to seek the governorship opened Alabama's Senate seat, fueling a competitive GOP primary on May 19 where Rep. Barry Moore leads recent polls like Remington Research (May 3–7) at 23% over Jared Hudson (20%) and Steve Marshall (16%). Trader consensus at 94% for a Republican victory reflects Alabama's deep-red status—Trump won by 30 points in 2024—and historical precedent, with Republicans holding both seats since 2021 and no competitive Democrat emerging from a fragmented primary field including Kyle Sweetser and Dakarai Larriett. A GOP win aligns with polling trends and weak opposition; upset scenarios like a post-primary scandal on the nominee or extraordinary Democratic turnout remain low-probability outliers ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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