United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election market due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with 18 of 27 seats from the prior cycle, combined with consistent advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-member districts. The party benefits from federal alignment, established regional organization, and top ballot positioning in multiple districts ahead of the 18–20 September 2026 vote. Opposition parties including the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller groups trail sharply, reflecting historical vote shares and limited recent polling shifts. Late developments such as unusually high turnout swings or unforeseen administrative changes could theoretically alter seat allocations, though current trader consensus prices these outcomes as highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUnited Russia 99.0%
CPRF <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
LDPR <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
United Russia
99%
CPRF
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
LDPR
<1%
New People
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 99.0%
CPRF <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
LDPR <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
United Russia
$3,211 Vol.
99%
CPRF
$916 Vol.
<1%
Communists of Russia
$601 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$878 Vol.
<1%
New People
$686 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$713 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$728 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election market due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with 18 of 27 seats from the prior cycle, combined with consistent advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-member districts. The party benefits from federal alignment, established regional organization, and top ballot positioning in multiple districts ahead of the 18–20 September 2026 vote. Opposition parties including the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller groups trail sharply, reflecting historical vote shares and limited recent polling shifts. Late developments such as unusually high turnout swings or unforeseen administrative changes could theoretically alter seat allocations, though current trader consensus prices these outcomes as highly improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Volumen
$7,732Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election market due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with 18 of 27 seats from the prior cycle, combined with consistent advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-member districts. The party benefits from federal alignment, established regional organization, and top ballot positioning in multiple districts ahead of the 18–20 September 2026 vote. Opposition parties including the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller groups trail sharply, reflecting historical vote shares and limited recent polling shifts. Late developments such as unusually high turnout swings or unforeseen administrative changes could theoretically alter seat allocations, though current trader consensus prices these outcomes as highly improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volumen
$7,732Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election market due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with 18 of 27 seats from the prior cycle, combined with consistent advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-member districts. The party benefits from federal alignment, established regional organization, and top ballot positioning in multiple districts ahead of the 18–20 September 2026 vote. Opposition parties including the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller groups trail sharply, reflecting historical vote shares and limited recent polling shifts. Late developments such as unusually high turnout swings or unforeseen administrative changes could theoretically alter seat allocations, though current trader consensus prices these outcomes as highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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