Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms through late May and early June 2026 shows the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13 Riksdag election, followed by the Sweden Democrats at 19–20 percent and the Moderates at 17–19 percent, with all other parties well below 9 percent. This consistent ordering has positioned the Moderates as the most likely third-place finisher, reflected in trader consensus on the market, while the Sweden Democrats hold the next-highest implied probability of finishing third if they narrow or lose ground to the Moderates. Smaller parties remain distant from contention for third place due to their lower and stable support levels. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these relative standings in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 2.3%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%
Moderate Party (M)
55%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
1%
Green Party (MP)
2%
Liberals (L)
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 2.3%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$362 Vol.
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$1,479 Vol.
37%
Moderate Party (M)
$1,347 Vol.
55%
Centre Party (C)
$649 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$622 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$636 Vol.
1%
Green Party (MP)
$579 Vol.
2%
Liberals (L)
$552 Vol.
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$735 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms through late May and early June 2026 shows the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13 Riksdag election, followed by the Sweden Democrats at 19–20 percent and the Moderates at 17–19 percent, with all other parties well below 9 percent. This consistent ordering has positioned the Moderates as the most likely third-place finisher, reflected in trader consensus on the market, while the Sweden Democrats hold the next-highest implied probability of finishing third if they narrow or lose ground to the Moderates. Smaller parties remain distant from contention for third place due to their lower and stable support levels. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these relative standings in the past month.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volumen
$6,963Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms through late May and early June 2026 shows the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13 Riksdag election, followed by the Sweden Democrats at 19–20 percent and the Moderates at 17–19 percent, with all other parties well below 9 percent. This consistent ordering has positioned the Moderates as the most likely third-place finisher, reflected in trader consensus on the market, while the Sweden Democrats hold the next-highest implied probability of finishing third if they narrow or lose ground to the Moderates. Smaller parties remain distant from contention for third place due to their lower and stable support levels. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these relative standings in the past month.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$6,963Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms through late May and early June 2026 shows the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13 Riksdag election, followed by the Sweden Democrats at 19–20 percent and the Moderates at 17–19 percent, with all other parties well below 9 percent. This consistent ordering has positioned the Moderates as the most likely third-place finisher, reflected in trader consensus on the market, while the Sweden Democrats hold the next-highest implied probability of finishing third if they narrow or lose ground to the Moderates. Smaller parties remain distant from contention for third place due to their lower and stable support levels. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these relative standings in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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