Polymarket traders price a 95% implied probability of no change in Banxico's benchmark rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50% in a split 3-2 vote while explicitly signaling the end of its two-year easing cycle amid stabilizing inflation. April 2026 headline CPI eased to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59%, aligning with Banxico's 3% target tolerance and supporting a pause in adjustments. This skin-in-the-game consensus draws from recent communications emphasizing data-dependent policy, with Mexican 10-year yields steady near 9.5%. A realistic challenge would require hotter-than-expected May inflation data—due mid-June—or sharp peso weakness prompting a hawkish pivot ahead of the June 25-26 meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 93.9%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.6%
$10,987 Vol.
$10,987 Vol.
25 jun 2026
Decrease
6%
No change
94%
Increase
4%
No change 93.9%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.6%
$10,987 Vol.
$10,987 Vol.
25 jun 2026
Decrease
$649 Vol.
6%
No change
$9,185 Vol.
94%
Increase
$1,153 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 95% implied probability of no change in Banxico's benchmark rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50% in a split 3-2 vote while explicitly signaling the end of its two-year easing cycle amid stabilizing inflation. April 2026 headline CPI eased to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59%, aligning with Banxico's 3% target tolerance and supporting a pause in adjustments. This skin-in-the-game consensus draws from recent communications emphasizing data-dependent policy, with Mexican 10-year yields steady near 9.5%. A realistic challenge would require hotter-than-expected May inflation data—due mid-June—or sharp peso weakness prompting a hawkish pivot ahead of the June 25-26 meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$10,987Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 95% implied probability of no change in Banxico's benchmark rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50% in a split 3-2 vote while explicitly signaling the end of its two-year easing cycle amid stabilizing inflation. April 2026 headline CPI eased to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59%, aligning with Banxico's 3% target tolerance and supporting a pause in adjustments. This skin-in-the-game consensus draws from recent communications emphasizing data-dependent policy, with Mexican 10-year yields steady near 9.5%. A realistic challenge would require hotter-than-expected May inflation data—due mid-June—or sharp peso weakness prompting a hawkish pivot ahead of the June 25-26 meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$10,987Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 95% implied probability of no change in Banxico's benchmark rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50% in a split 3-2 vote while explicitly signaling the end of its two-year easing cycle amid stabilizing inflation. April 2026 headline CPI eased to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59%, aligning with Banxico's 3% target tolerance and supporting a pause in adjustments. This skin-in-the-game consensus draws from recent communications emphasizing data-dependent policy, with Mexican 10-year yields steady near 9.5%. A realistic challenge would require hotter-than-expected May inflation data—due mid-June—or sharp peso weakness prompting a hawkish pivot ahead of the June 25-26 meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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