Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 to represent California's Silicon Valley-based 16th district, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the November 2026 general election. The seat's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its D+25 partisan voting index and uniform Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, underpin the 92.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. With filing deadlines approaching in March 2026 and a June primary, limited Republican opposition has emerged so far, reducing prospects for an upset. Factors that could still shift outcomes include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or late shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost turnout among conservative voters in the district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$48,949 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$27,220 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 to represent California's Silicon Valley-based 16th district, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the November 2026 general election. The seat's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its D+25 partisan voting index and uniform Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, underpin the 92.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. With filing deadlines approaching in March 2026 and a June primary, limited Republican opposition has emerged so far, reducing prospects for an upset. Factors that could still shift outcomes include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or late shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost turnout among conservative voters in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$76,170Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 to represent California's Silicon Valley-based 16th district, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the November 2026 general election. The seat's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its D+25 partisan voting index and uniform Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, underpin the 92.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. With filing deadlines approaching in March 2026 and a June primary, limited Republican opposition has emerged so far, reducing prospects for an upset. Factors that could still shift outcomes include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or late shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost turnout among conservative voters in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$76,170Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 to represent California's Silicon Valley-based 16th district, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the November 2026 general election. The seat's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its D+25 partisan voting index and uniform Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, underpin the 92.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. With filing deadlines approaching in March 2026 and a June primary, limited Republican opposition has emerged so far, reducing prospects for an upset. Factors that could still shift outcomes include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or late shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost turnout among conservative voters in the district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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