Skip to main content
icon for Ganadores de las primarias del CA-22
Política·Elecciones Primarias

Ganadores de las primarias del CA-22

icon for Ganadores de las primarias del CA-22
Política·Elecciones Primarias

Ganadores de las primarias del CA-22

NUEVO
2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$1,847 Vol.

Polymarket

David Valadao

$417 Vol.

98%

Chris Mathys

$544 Vol.

14%

Rudy Salas

$335 Vol.

5%

Randy Villegas

$473 Vol.

50%

Jasmeet Bains

$78 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) leads the top-two primary for California's 22nd Congressional District at 44% in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6, 517 likely voters), ahead of Democratic challengers Randy Villegas (25%) and Jasmeet Bains (21%), with 10% undecided, driving trader consensus toward his advancement on June 2. The Central Valley battleground favors Valadao's incumbency and fundraising edge ($2.9 million cash-on-hand), while Democrats split between Bains's moderate physician background and Villegas's progressive profile backed by Bernie Sanders and unions. Early voting is underway in this low-turnout primary, where consolidation among Democratic voters could tip the second spot amid toss-up general election ratings from Cook Political Report and others.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$1,847
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) leads the top-two primary for California's 22nd Congressional District at 44% in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6, 517 likely voters), ahead of Democratic challengers Randy Villegas (25%) and Jasmeet Bains (21%), with 10% undecided, driving trader consensus toward his advancement on June 2. The Central Valley battleground favors Valadao's incumbency and fundraising edge ($2.9 million cash-on-hand), while Democrats split between Bains's moderate physician background and Villegas's progressive profile backed by Bernie Sanders and unions. Early voting is underway in this low-turnout primary, where consolidation among Democratic voters could tip the second spot amid toss-up general election ratings from Cook Political Report and others.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$1,847
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganadores de las primarias del CA-22" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "David Valadao" con 98%, seguido de "Jasmeet Bains" con 55%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganadores de las primarias del CA-22" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 11, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganadores de las primarias del CA-22", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganadores de las primarias del CA-22" es "David Valadao" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jasmeet Bains" con 55%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganadores de las primarias del CA-22" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.