The closely contested odds on California's Proposition 42 reflect competing pressures between protecting retirement holdings, personal assets, and savings from new ownership-based or retroactive taxes enacted after January 1, 2026, and the push for additional state revenue through measures targeting high-net-worth individuals. This initiative constitutional amendment would nullify conflicting taxes and bar levies on unrealized gains or personal property, directly countering elements of the companion wealth tax proposal. Qualification of both measures for the November 2026 ballot, combined with debates over residency cutoffs and constitutional limits on retroactivity, has sustained trader equilibrium near 50 percent. Upcoming endorsements, campaign spending patterns, or shifts in polling on related tax initiatives could alter the balance ahead of the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPropuesta de prohibición de impuestos retroactivos de California
Propuesta de prohibición de impuestos retroactivos de California
Sí
48% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Sí
48% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).The closely contested odds on California's Proposition 42 reflect competing pressures between protecting retirement holdings, personal assets, and savings from new ownership-based or retroactive taxes enacted after January 1, 2026, and the push for additional state revenue through measures targeting high-net-worth individuals. This initiative constitutional amendment would nullify conflicting taxes and bar levies on unrealized gains or personal property, directly countering elements of the companion wealth tax proposal. Qualification of both measures for the November 2026 ballot, combined with debates over residency cutoffs and constitutional limits on retroactivity, has sustained trader equilibrium near 50 percent. Upcoming endorsements, campaign spending patterns, or shifts in polling on related tax initiatives could alter the balance ahead of the vote.
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).The closely contested odds on California's Proposition 42 reflect competing pressures between protecting retirement holdings, personal assets, and savings from new ownership-based or retroactive taxes enacted after January 1, 2026, and the push for additional state revenue through measures targeting high-net-worth individuals. This initiative constitutional amendment would nullify conflicting taxes and bar levies on unrealized gains or personal property, directly countering elements of the companion wealth tax proposal. Qualification of both measures for the November 2026 ballot, combined with debates over residency cutoffs and constitutional limits on retroactivity, has sustained trader equilibrium near 50 percent. Upcoming endorsements, campaign spending patterns, or shifts in polling on related tax initiatives could alter the balance ahead of the vote.
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested odds on California's Proposition 42 reflect competing pressures between protecting retirement holdings, personal assets, and savings from new ownership-based or retroactive taxes enacted after January 1, 2026, and the push for additional state revenue through measures targeting high-net-worth individuals. This initiative constitutional amendment would nullify conflicting taxes and bar levies on unrealized gains or personal property, directly countering elements of the companion wealth tax proposal. Qualification of both measures for the November 2026 ballot, combined with debates over residency cutoffs and constitutional limits on retroactivity, has sustained trader equilibrium near 50 percent. Upcoming endorsements, campaign spending patterns, or shifts in polling on related tax initiatives could alter the balance ahead of the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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