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icon for California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

icon for California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

50% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
50% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters face a closely contested November 2026 ballot measure that would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts and investment holdings while limiting retroactive taxation based on pre-enactment status or conduct. The proposition emerged as a direct counter to the competing 2026 Billionaire Tax Act, with both measures designed so that the higher-vote initiative prevails if approved; this linkage has driven balanced trader positioning. Recent developments include substantial early fundraising by business-backed opposition groups, federal legislation targeting retroactive state taxes on former residents, and ongoing legal debate over the constitutionality of residency-based retroactivity in wealth-tax proposals. Upcoming campaign developments, voter mobilization around property protections, and any shifts in polling on the paired wealth-tax initiative could alter the narrow balance ahead of election day.

Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters face a closely contested November 2026 ballot measure that would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts and investment holdings while limiting retroactive taxation based on pre-enactment status or conduct. The proposition emerged as a direct counter to the competing 2026 Billionaire Tax Act, with both measures designed so that the higher-vote initiative prevails if approved; this linkage has driven balanced trader positioning. Recent developments include substantial early fundraising by business-backed opposition groups, federal legislation targeting retroactive state taxes on former residents, and ongoing legal debate over the constitutionality of residency-based retroactivity in wealth-tax proposals. Upcoming campaign developments, voter mobilization around property protections, and any shifts in polling on the paired wealth-tax initiative could alter the narrow balance ahead of election day.

Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 50% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 50¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition" es 50% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 50% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.