Skip to main content
icon for Elecciones presidenciales de Colombia
Política·Elecciones Globales

Elecciones presidenciales de Colombia

icon for Elecciones presidenciales de Colombia
Política·Elecciones Globales

Elecciones presidenciales de Colombia

Título del ítem del grupo: Abelardo de la Espriella 44%

Iván Cepeda Castro 43%

Paloma Valencia 13.9%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) <1%

Polymarket

$29,264,503 Vol.

Título del ítem del grupo: Abelardo de la Espriella 44%

Iván Cepeda Castro 43%

Paloma Valencia 13.9%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) <1%

Polymarket

$29,264,503 Vol.

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Abelardo de la Espriella

Título del ítem del grupo: Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,163,748 Vol.

44%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$1,011,391 Vol.

43%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$1,217,728 Vol.

14%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$1,793,983 Vol.

<1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Sergio Fajardo (DC)

Título del ítem del grupo: Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$1,745,659 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$1,150,284 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Felipe Córdoba

Carlos Felipe Córdoba

$627,014 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila (IND)

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$2,857,367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López (IND)

Claudia López (IND)

$1,158,906 Vol.

<1%

icon for Título del grupo: David Luna Sánchez (IND)

Título del grupo: David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$1,819,055 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$1,518,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$5,762,070 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$708,114 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$1,782,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$2,493,805 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$694,239 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$1,305,568 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$430,214 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).With Colombia’s presidential first round set for May 31, 2026, and a likely June runoff, trader consensus shows a tight race driven by consolidated left support for continuity and competing conservative bids for change. Recent late-April polling has Iván Cepeda Castro expanding appeal among younger and regional voters, while Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia compete for right-leaning ballots in a field where centrists have fallen below viability thresholds. Security incidents, financing inquiries, and final debates remain the main variables that could shift voter consolidation ahead of the vote, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 45 percent for the top contenders.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$29,264,503
Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).With Colombia’s presidential first round set for May 31, 2026, and a likely June runoff, trader consensus shows a tight race driven by consolidated left support for continuity and competing conservative bids for change. Recent late-April polling has Iván Cepeda Castro expanding appeal among younger and regional voters, while Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia compete for right-leaning ballots in a field where centrists have fallen below viability thresholds. Security incidents, financing inquiries, and final debates remain the main variables that could shift voter consolidation ahead of the vote, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 45 percent for the top contenders.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$29,264,503
Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones presidenciales de Colombia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Título del ítem del grupo: Abelardo de la Espriella" con 44%, seguido de "Iván Cepeda Castro" con 43%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones presidenciales de Colombia" ha generado $29.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 29, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones presidenciales de Colombia", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones presidenciales de Colombia" es "Título del ítem del grupo: Abelardo de la Espriella" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Iván Cepeda Castro" con 43%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones presidenciales de Colombia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.