The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIPC básico interanual - mayo de 2026
IPC básico interanual - mayo de 2026
2.9% 100.0%
≤2.4% <1%
2.5% <1%
2.6% <1%
$13,765 Vol.
$13,765 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤2.4%
No
2.5%
No
2.6%
No
2.7%
No
2.8%
No
2.9%
Yes
3.0%
No
3.1%
No
3.2%
No
≥3.3%
No
2.9% 100.0%
≤2.4% <1%
2.5% <1%
2.6% <1%
$13,765 Vol.
$13,765 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤2.4%
$713 Vol.
No
2.5%
$359 Vol.
No
2.6%
$575 Vol.
No
2.7%
$548 Vol.
No
2.8%
$2,000 Vol.
No
2.9%
$6,541 Vol.
Yes
3.0%
$1,033 Vol.
No
3.1%
$719 Vol.
No
3.2%
$650 Vol.
No
≥3.3%
$627 Vol.
No
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volumen
$13,765Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$13,765Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes