Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 15 de mayo?
27°C 99.8%
21°C 1.0%
19°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
$293,592 Vol.
$293,592 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C o menos
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
27°C 99.8%
21°C 1.0%
19°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
$293,592 Vol.
$293,592 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C o menos
$3,634 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,512 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,387 Vol.
1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89,459 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,410 Vol.
<1%
29°C o más
$35,999 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$293,592Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$293,592Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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