The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, 2026, drove the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. In this pre-monsoon transition period, regional atmospheric conditions including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating kept peak values aligned with long-term climatological averages around 28–29°C, yet localized cloud cover and sea-breeze effects moderated the high precisely to 25°C. Traders weighted this verified observation heavily, as resolution hinges on the Observatory's calibrated station data rather than forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or post-event revision to the official log could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given standard quality controls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,901 Vol.
$303,901 Vol.
16 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,901 Vol.
$303,901 Vol.
16 may 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$77,401 Vol.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25,277 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, 2026, drove the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. In this pre-monsoon transition period, regional atmospheric conditions including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating kept peak values aligned with long-term climatological averages around 28–29°C, yet localized cloud cover and sea-breeze effects moderated the high precisely to 25°C. Traders weighted this verified observation heavily, as resolution hinges on the Observatory's calibrated station data rather than forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or post-event revision to the official log could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given standard quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$303,901Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, 2026, drove the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. In this pre-monsoon transition period, regional atmospheric conditions including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating kept peak values aligned with long-term climatological averages around 28–29°C, yet localized cloud cover and sea-breeze effects moderated the high precisely to 25°C. Traders weighted this verified observation heavily, as resolution hinges on the Observatory's calibrated station data rather than forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or post-event revision to the official log could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given standard quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$303,901Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, 2026, drove the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. In this pre-monsoon transition period, regional atmospheric conditions including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating kept peak values aligned with long-term climatological averages around 28–29°C, yet localized cloud cover and sea-breeze effects moderated the high precisely to 25°C. Traders weighted this verified observation heavily, as resolution hinges on the Observatory's calibrated station data rather than forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or post-event revision to the official log could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given standard quality controls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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