Ongoing Mediterranean heatwave conditions, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, are positioning Milan for a peak temperature near 37°C on August 6. Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather both indicate a maximum of 37°C under sunny skies with light winds, consistent with Italy's red heat alerts for the city and recent mid-30s readings amid the fourth major heat episode of the summer. The urban heat island effect and dry soils from prolonged dryness further support amplification of daytime highs, while model consensus limits upside risk above 38°C. These factors align with the market's heaviest weighting on 36–37°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns ahead of any potential evening cooling or minor convective disruption.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 6 de agosto?
37°C 56%
36°C 38%
38°C 6%
35°C 5%
$11,209 Vol.
$11,209 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
38%
37°C
56%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o más
<1%
37°C 56%
36°C 38%
38°C 6%
35°C 5%
$11,209 Vol.
$11,209 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
38%
37°C
56%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing Mediterranean heatwave conditions, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, are positioning Milan for a peak temperature near 37°C on August 6. Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather both indicate a maximum of 37°C under sunny skies with light winds, consistent with Italy's red heat alerts for the city and recent mid-30s readings amid the fourth major heat episode of the summer. The urban heat island effect and dry soils from prolonged dryness further support amplification of daytime highs, while model consensus limits upside risk above 38°C. These factors align with the market's heaviest weighting on 36–37°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns ahead of any potential evening cooling or minor convective disruption.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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