Latest National Weather Service and private model consensus for June 14 points to a daytime maximum in the upper 80s across New York City, driven by warm southerly flow and above-average 850 hPa temperatures ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup has elevated the market-implied odds for 88–89 °F to 56.5 %, with 86–87 °F holding secondary support. Historical mid-June normals near 78 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, though modest cloud cover and any sea-breeze modulation could cap readings. Updated afternoon soundings and mesoscale guidance expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any further probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 14 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 14 de junio?
88-89°F 56%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 11%
84-85°F 4.0%
$34,815 Vol.
$34,815 Vol.
14 jun 2026
83°F o menos
<1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
56%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o más
<1%
88-89°F 56%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 11%
84-85°F 4.0%
$34,815 Vol.
$34,815 Vol.
14 jun 2026
83°F o menos
$3,764 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,885 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$4,321 Vol.
25%
88-89°F
$2,917 Vol.
56%
90-91°F
$7,870 Vol.
11%
92-93°F
$4,341 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$3,979 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$2,095 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$432 Vol.
<1%
102°F o más
$401 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model consensus for June 14 points to a daytime maximum in the upper 80s across New York City, driven by warm southerly flow and above-average 850 hPa temperatures ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup has elevated the market-implied odds for 88–89 °F to 56.5 %, with 86–87 °F holding secondary support. Historical mid-June normals near 78 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, though modest cloud cover and any sea-breeze modulation could cap readings. Updated afternoon soundings and mesoscale guidance expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any further probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$34,815Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model consensus for June 14 points to a daytime maximum in the upper 80s across New York City, driven by warm southerly flow and above-average 850 hPa temperatures ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup has elevated the market-implied odds for 88–89 °F to 56.5 %, with 86–87 °F holding secondary support. Historical mid-June normals near 78 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, though modest cloud cover and any sea-breeze modulation could cap readings. Updated afternoon soundings and mesoscale guidance expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any further probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$34,815Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model consensus for June 14 points to a daytime maximum in the upper 80s across New York City, driven by warm southerly flow and above-average 850 hPa temperatures ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup has elevated the market-implied odds for 88–89 °F to 56.5 %, with 86–87 °F holding secondary support. Historical mid-June normals near 78 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, though modest cloud cover and any sea-breeze modulation could cap readings. Updated afternoon soundings and mesoscale guidance expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any further probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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