Current ensemble forecasts for Taipei on May 18 point to a daytime maximum near 31–33 °C under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with the Central Weather Administration’s models showing only modest spread from variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and localized urban heat-island amplification across the city basin. These small meteorological differences account for the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 32 °C, 31 °C, and 33 °C. Official hourly observations at the Taipei station will set the exact peak, while any late-day convective development or strengthened northeasterly flow could nudge the final value lower or higher within the narrow uncertainty range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 18 de mayo?
32°C 34%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
34°C or higher 15.2%
NUEVO
$16,567 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,567 Vol.
18 may 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
24%
32°C
34%
33°C
23%
34°C or higher
15%
32°C 34%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
34°C or higher 15.2%
NUEVO
$16,567 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,567 Vol.
18 may 2026
24°C or below
$908 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,218 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,642 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,242 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,317 Vol.
9%
31°C
$1,549 Vol.
24%
32°C
$1,209 Vol.
34%
33°C
$1,547 Vol.
23%
34°C or higher
$2,278 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts for Taipei on May 18 point to a daytime maximum near 31–33 °C under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with the Central Weather Administration’s models showing only modest spread from variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and localized urban heat-island amplification across the city basin. These small meteorological differences account for the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 32 °C, 31 °C, and 33 °C. Official hourly observations at the Taipei station will set the exact peak, while any late-day convective development or strengthened northeasterly flow could nudge the final value lower or higher within the narrow uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$16,567Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts for Taipei on May 18 point to a daytime maximum near 31–33 °C under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with the Central Weather Administration’s models showing only modest spread from variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and localized urban heat-island amplification across the city basin. These small meteorological differences account for the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 32 °C, 31 °C, and 33 °C. Official hourly observations at the Taipei station will set the exact peak, while any late-day convective development or strengthened northeasterly flow could nudge the final value lower or higher within the narrow uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,567Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent ensemble forecasts for Taipei on May 18 point to a daytime maximum near 31–33 °C under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with the Central Weather Administration’s models showing only modest spread from variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and localized urban heat-island amplification across the city basin. These small meteorological differences account for the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 32 °C, 31 °C, and 33 °C. Official hourly observations at the Taipei station will set the exact peak, while any late-day convective development or strengthened northeasterly flow could nudge the final value lower or higher within the narrow uncertainty range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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