Current forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 6 point to a typical midsummer pattern of clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that supports a daily maximum near 32°C, consistent with the market’s 59% implied probability for that outcome. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show highs clustered between 31–33°C, with 32°C appearing most frequently across model runs and aligning closely with the August climatological average high of roughly 31°C. Recent model updates have shown little day-to-day drift, keeping 33°C as a plausible but less likely alternative at 29% while trimming odds for 34°C or higher. With no significant heat advection or marine-layer changes expected before the measurement window closes, trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range Mediterranean summer forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 6 de agosto?
32°C 59%
33°C 29%
31°C 8%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 29%
31°C 8%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 6 point to a typical midsummer pattern of clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that supports a daily maximum near 32°C, consistent with the market’s 59% implied probability for that outcome. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show highs clustered between 31–33°C, with 32°C appearing most frequently across model runs and aligning closely with the August climatological average high of roughly 31°C. Recent model updates have shown little day-to-day drift, keeping 33°C as a plausible but less likely alternative at 29% while trimming odds for 34°C or higher. With no significant heat advection or marine-layer changes expected before the measurement window closes, trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range Mediterranean summer forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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