Current ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 15 near 31–33°C under clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure typical of late Mediterranean summer. These conditions support the market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%), with secondary support for 32°C and 34°C reflecting minor model spread and local microclimate variability. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity levels align with historical September baselines, while recent runs show no significant deviations from the warm, dry pattern observed in prior days. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 15 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 15 de septiembre?
33°C 61%
34°C 21%
32°C 16%
35°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
28°C o menos
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
61%
34°C
21%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C o más
1%
33°C 61%
34°C 21%
32°C 16%
35°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
28°C o menos
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
2%
32°C
$73 Vol.
16%
33°C
$138 Vol.
61%
34°C
$12 Vol.
21%
35°C
$177 Vol.
4%
36°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$127 Vol.
3%
38°C o más
$127 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 15 near 31–33°C under clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure typical of late Mediterranean summer. These conditions support the market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%), with secondary support for 32°C and 34°C reflecting minor model spread and local microclimate variability. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity levels align with historical September baselines, while recent runs show no significant deviations from the warm, dry pattern observed in prior days. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$995Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 15 near 31–33°C under clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure typical of late Mediterranean summer. These conditions support the market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%), with secondary support for 32°C and 34°C reflecting minor model spread and local microclimate variability. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity levels align with historical September baselines, while recent runs show no significant deviations from the warm, dry pattern observed in prior days. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$995Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 15 near 31–33°C under clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure typical of late Mediterranean summer. These conditions support the market-implied odds favoring 33°C (60.5%), with secondary support for 32°C and 34°C reflecting minor model spread and local microclimate variability. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity levels align with historical September baselines, while recent runs show no significant deviations from the warm, dry pattern observed in prior days. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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