Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de mayo?
14°C 53%
15°C 35%
13°C 12.3%
16°C 2.7%
NUEVO
$24,286 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,286 Vol.
18 may 2026
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
53%
15°C
35%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C o más
<1%
14°C 53%
15°C 35%
13°C 12.3%
16°C 2.7%
NUEVO
$24,286 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,286 Vol.
18 may 2026
8°C o menos
$681 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,759 Vol.
2%
13°C
$3,481 Vol.
12%
14°C
$3,100 Vol.
53%
15°C
$2,240 Vol.
35%
16°C
$4,175 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,188 Vol.
1%
18°C o más
$965 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$24,286Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$24,286Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNLatest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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