Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 18 de mayo?
26°C 50%
25°C 25%
24°C 11.1%
27°C 4%
NUEVO
$21,842 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,842 Vol.
18 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
25%
26°C
50%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
26°C 50%
25°C 25%
24°C 11.1%
27°C 4%
NUEVO
$21,842 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,842 Vol.
18 may 2026
18°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$803 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,756 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,147 Vol.
4%
24°C
$3,727 Vol.
16%
25°C
$2,251 Vol.
25%
26°C
$2,726 Vol.
50%
27°C
$2,040 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$1,810 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$21,842Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,842Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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