Traders heavily favor low volumes for the Trump Gold Card visa program in 2026 because early implementation has produced minimal uptake despite initial projections of tens of thousands of issuances. The program, launched via executive order in late 2025, routes applicants through existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories by treating a $1 million contribution as evidence of extraordinary ability or national interest, yet only one full approval has occurred by late April 2026, with roughly 165 applicants having paid the $15,000 processing fee and 338 submitting requests. Delays in processing, ongoing legal questions over expedited timelines, and limited interest from wealthy foreign nationals have kept totals near the bottom of expected ranges. Upcoming policy clarifications or broader marketing efforts could shift outcomes, but current evidence points to persistent barriers through the remainder of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?
1-100 68.5%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 9.4%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,027 Vol.
$235,027 Vol.
1-100
69%
101-1k
13%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
4%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
9%
1-100 68.5%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 9.4%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,027 Vol.
$235,027 Vol.
1-100
69%
101-1k
13%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
4%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
9%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor low volumes for the Trump Gold Card visa program in 2026 because early implementation has produced minimal uptake despite initial projections of tens of thousands of issuances. The program, launched via executive order in late 2025, routes applicants through existing EB-1 and EB-2 categories by treating a $1 million contribution as evidence of extraordinary ability or national interest, yet only one full approval has occurred by late April 2026, with roughly 165 applicants having paid the $15,000 processing fee and 338 submitting requests. Delays in processing, ongoing legal questions over expedited timelines, and limited interest from wealthy foreign nationals have kept totals near the bottom of expected ranges. Upcoming policy clarifications or broader marketing efforts could shift outcomes, but current evidence points to persistent barriers through the remainder of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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