Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood, unopposed in the March 17 Republican primary, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District—a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with R+11 partisan lean—against Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed. LaHood's near-uncontested 2024 victory (99.9%), combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand versus Nolley's $160,000 as of March 31), drives trader consensus to 86.5% for the GOP amid historical dominance and Trump carrying the district 61-38% in 2024. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with the November 3 general election six months away.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,361 Vol.
$12,361 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
10%
$12,361 Vol.
$12,361 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$3,728 Vol.
87%
Partido Demócrata
$8,633 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood, unopposed in the March 17 Republican primary, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District—a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with R+11 partisan lean—against Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed. LaHood's near-uncontested 2024 victory (99.9%), combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand versus Nolley's $160,000 as of March 31), drives trader consensus to 86.5% for the GOP amid historical dominance and Trump carrying the district 61-38% in 2024. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with the November 3 general election six months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$12,361Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood, unopposed in the March 17 Republican primary, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District—a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with R+11 partisan lean—against Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed. LaHood's near-uncontested 2024 victory (99.9%), combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand versus Nolley's $160,000 as of March 31), drives trader consensus to 86.5% for the GOP amid historical dominance and Trump carrying the district 61-38% in 2024. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with the November 3 general election six months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,361Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood, unopposed in the March 17 Republican primary, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District—a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with R+11 partisan lean—against Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed. LaHood's near-uncontested 2024 victory (99.9%), combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand versus Nolley's $160,000 as of March 31), drives trader consensus to 86.5% for the GOP amid historical dominance and Trump carrying the district 61-38% in 2024. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with the November 3 general election six months away.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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