Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries an R+13 partisan voting index, features rural and suburban counties that reliably support Republicans, and delivered Yakym a 62.7% margin in 2024. He advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Democrat Jamee Decio secured her party’s nomination in a low-profile contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district’s structural tilt. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 92.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in safely held seats. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in South Bend could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes IN-02
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes IN-02
$27,325 Vol.
$27,325 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$27,325 Vol.
$27,325 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$20,022 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$7,302 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries an R+13 partisan voting index, features rural and suburban counties that reliably support Republicans, and delivered Yakym a 62.7% margin in 2024. He advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Democrat Jamee Decio secured her party’s nomination in a low-profile contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district’s structural tilt. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 92.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in safely held seats. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in South Bend could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$27,325Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries an R+13 partisan voting index, features rural and suburban counties that reliably support Republicans, and delivered Yakym a 62.7% margin in 2024. He advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Democrat Jamee Decio secured her party’s nomination in a low-profile contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district’s structural tilt. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 92.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in safely held seats. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in South Bend could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,325Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries an R+13 partisan voting index, features rural and suburban counties that reliably support Republicans, and delivered Yakym a 62.7% margin in 2024. He advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Democrat Jamee Decio secured her party’s nomination in a low-profile contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district’s structural tilt. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 92.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in safely held seats. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in South Bend could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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