Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler air mass arriving in Denver on September 15, with scattered showers and easterly winds limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble forecasts from NOAA and global models converge on a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 50s °F, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 52–55 °F bins, while historical climatology for the date shows an average low near 50 °F. Key variables separating adjacent outcomes include the exact timing of any frontal passage, cloud-cover duration, and dew-point depression; modest shifts in these can swing the overnight low by a few degrees. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and surface observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official Denver International Airport readings at midnight MDT.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Denver el 15 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Denver el 15 de septiembre?
45°F o menos 55%
64°F o más 53%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
45°F o menos
55%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
30%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
13%
64°F o más
53%
45°F o menos 55%
64°F o más 53%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
45°F o menos
$0 Vol.
55%
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
13%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
18%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
24%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
30%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
28%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
22%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
39%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
13%
64°F o más
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler air mass arriving in Denver on September 15, with scattered showers and easterly winds limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble forecasts from NOAA and global models converge on a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 50s °F, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 52–55 °F bins, while historical climatology for the date shows an average low near 50 °F. Key variables separating adjacent outcomes include the exact timing of any frontal passage, cloud-cover duration, and dew-point depression; modest shifts in these can swing the overnight low by a few degrees. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and surface observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official Denver International Airport readings at midnight MDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler air mass arriving in Denver on September 15, with scattered showers and easterly winds limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble forecasts from NOAA and global models converge on a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 50s °F, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 52–55 °F bins, while historical climatology for the date shows an average low near 50 °F. Key variables separating adjacent outcomes include the exact timing of any frontal passage, cloud-cover duration, and dew-point depression; modest shifts in these can swing the overnight low by a few degrees. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and surface observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official Denver International Airport readings at midnight MDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler air mass arriving in Denver on September 15, with scattered showers and easterly winds limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble forecasts from NOAA and global models converge on a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 50s °F, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 52–55 °F bins, while historical climatology for the date shows an average low near 50 °F. Key variables separating adjacent outcomes include the exact timing of any frontal passage, cloud-cover duration, and dew-point depression; modest shifts in these can swing the overnight low by a few degrees. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and surface observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official Denver International Airport readings at midnight MDT.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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