Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 16, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24.2°C amid lingering subtropical monsoon moisture. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by weak easterly flow and high humidity near 70–80%—limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated, reducing the chance of dropping to 20°C or below. At the same time, the absence of strong cold-air advection or typhoon influences keeps the upper end near 30°C unlikely. Model consensus on these conditions explains the closely matched market odds between cooler and warmer extremes, with traders weighing small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 16 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 16 de septiembre?
20°C o menos 99%
30°C o más 94%
27°C 40%
21°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
20°C o menos
99%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
25%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C o más
94%
20°C o menos 99%
30°C o más 94%
27°C 40%
21°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$0 Vol.
99%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C o más
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 16, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24.2°C amid lingering subtropical monsoon moisture. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by weak easterly flow and high humidity near 70–80%—limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated, reducing the chance of dropping to 20°C or below. At the same time, the absence of strong cold-air advection or typhoon influences keeps the upper end near 30°C unlikely. Model consensus on these conditions explains the closely matched market odds between cooler and warmer extremes, with traders weighing small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 16, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24.2°C amid lingering subtropical monsoon moisture. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by weak easterly flow and high humidity near 70–80%—limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated, reducing the chance of dropping to 20°C or below. At the same time, the absence of strong cold-air advection or typhoon influences keeps the upper end near 30°C unlikely. Model consensus on these conditions explains the closely matched market odds between cooler and warmer extremes, with traders weighing small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 16, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24.2°C amid lingering subtropical monsoon moisture. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by weak easterly flow and high humidity near 70–80%—limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated, reducing the chance of dropping to 20°C or below. At the same time, the absence of strong cold-air advection or typhoon influences keeps the upper end near 30°C unlikely. Model consensus on these conditions explains the closely matched market odds between cooler and warmer extremes, with traders weighing small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes