**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s lowest temperature on September 21 reflects near-even odds (46% each) on the extremes of 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher, with narrower bands around 25–27°C trading near 21%.** This split highlights genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear consensus. Subtropical Guangzhou in late September normally sees average lows near 23.7°C, but recent days have featured hot, humid conditions with highs of 34–36°C. Official forecasts for the 21st point to a high near 34°C, a low around 26°C, and an 80%+ chance of heavy rain (30+ mm possible). Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with clear nights. Light winds and high humidity further limit temperature drops. A stronger-than-expected cold front or clearer skies overnight could push the low toward or below 20°C, while suppressed cooling or a delayed system could keep readings near or above 30°C. Model runs and official guidance from regional meteorological centers will be key updates traders are watching before resolution. The balanced market pricing underscores how small shifts in timing, intensity of precipitation, or cloud persistence can swing the overnight minimum across a wide range in this humid, monsoon-influenced environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 21 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 21 de septiembre?
20°C o menos 92%
30°C o más 92%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
20°C o menos
92%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
18%
29°C
17%
30°C o más
92%
20°C o menos 92%
30°C o más 92%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$0 Vol.
92%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C o más
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s lowest temperature on September 21 reflects near-even odds (46% each) on the extremes of 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher, with narrower bands around 25–27°C trading near 21%.** This split highlights genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear consensus.
Subtropical Guangzhou in late September normally sees average lows near 23.7°C, but recent days have featured hot, humid conditions with highs of 34–36°C. Official forecasts for the 21st point to a high near 34°C, a low around 26°C, and an 80%+ chance of heavy rain (30+ mm possible). Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with clear nights. Light winds and high humidity further limit temperature drops.
A stronger-than-expected cold front or clearer skies overnight could push the low toward or below 20°C, while suppressed cooling or a delayed system could keep readings near or above 30°C. Model runs and official guidance from regional meteorological centers will be key updates traders are watching before resolution. The balanced market pricing underscores how small shifts in timing, intensity of precipitation, or cloud persistence can swing the overnight minimum across a wide range in this humid, monsoon-influenced environment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s lowest temperature on September 21 reflects near-even odds (46% each) on the extremes of 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher, with narrower bands around 25–27°C trading near 21%.** This split highlights genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear consensus.
Subtropical Guangzhou in late September normally sees average lows near 23.7°C, but recent days have featured hot, humid conditions with highs of 34–36°C. Official forecasts for the 21st point to a high near 34°C, a low around 26°C, and an 80%+ chance of heavy rain (30+ mm possible). Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with clear nights. Light winds and high humidity further limit temperature drops.
A stronger-than-expected cold front or clearer skies overnight could push the low toward or below 20°C, while suppressed cooling or a delayed system could keep readings near or above 30°C. Model runs and official guidance from regional meteorological centers will be key updates traders are watching before resolution. The balanced market pricing underscores how small shifts in timing, intensity of precipitation, or cloud persistence can swing the overnight minimum across a wide range in this humid, monsoon-influenced environment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s lowest temperature on September 21 reflects near-even odds (46% each) on the extremes of 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher, with narrower bands around 25–27°C trading near 21%.** This split highlights genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear consensus. Subtropical Guangzhou in late September normally sees average lows near 23.7°C, but recent days have featured hot, humid conditions with highs of 34–36°C. Official forecasts for the 21st point to a high near 34°C, a low around 26°C, and an 80%+ chance of heavy rain (30+ mm possible). Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with clear nights. Light winds and high humidity further limit temperature drops. A stronger-than-expected cold front or clearer skies overnight could push the low toward or below 20°C, while suppressed cooling or a delayed system could keep readings near or above 30°C. Model runs and official guidance from regional meteorological centers will be key updates traders are watching before resolution. The balanced market pricing underscores how small shifts in timing, intensity of precipitation, or cloud persistence can swing the overnight minimum across a wide range in this humid, monsoon-influenced environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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