Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature of 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. These conditions, combined with light winds and expected rainfall, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below reflect trader emphasis on model spread and possible shifts in steering patterns or a stronger cold advection signal, while the clustering around 13–15°C aligns with baseline late-August climatology for the region. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles will refine the overnight low as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 30 de agosto?
11°C or below 60%
21°C or higher 48%
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
60%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
24%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
48%
11°C or below 60%
21°C or higher 48%
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
$16 Vol.
60%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$15 Vol.
8%
19°C
$5 Vol.
8%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature of 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. These conditions, combined with light winds and expected rainfall, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below reflect trader emphasis on model spread and possible shifts in steering patterns or a stronger cold advection signal, while the clustering around 13–15°C aligns with baseline late-August climatology for the region. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles will refine the overnight low as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature of 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. These conditions, combined with light winds and expected rainfall, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below reflect trader emphasis on model spread and possible shifts in steering patterns or a stronger cold advection signal, while the clustering around 13–15°C aligns with baseline late-August climatology for the region. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles will refine the overnight low as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature of 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. These conditions, combined with light winds and expected rainfall, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below reflect trader emphasis on model spread and possible shifts in steering patterns or a stronger cold advection signal, while the clustering around 13–15°C aligns with baseline late-August climatology for the region. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles will refine the overnight low as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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