Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C low for Hong Kong on June 14, reflecting persistent subtropical conditions with high humidity near 90% and northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional models indicate overnight minima around 26–27°C under cloudy skies, consistent with June climatology where urban heat island effects and moisture typically keep daily lows above 25°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory project above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, supporting elevated overnight readings, while current observations show temperatures holding in the upper 20s°C range through midday. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar cloudy, humid patterns reinforce the market's emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over lower thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de junio?
28°C 77.7%
27°C 22%
26°C 6.6%
25°C 2.6%
$31,575 Vol.
$31,575 Vol.
14 jun 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
78%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
28°C 77.7%
27°C 22%
26°C 6.6%
25°C 2.6%
$31,575 Vol.
$31,575 Vol.
14 jun 2026
22°C o menos
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,905 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,950 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,946 Vol.
3%
26°C
$3,751 Vol.
7%
27°C
$2,062 Vol.
22%
28°C
$7,407 Vol.
78%
29°C
$6,708 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$1,755 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C low for Hong Kong on June 14, reflecting persistent subtropical conditions with high humidity near 90% and northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional models indicate overnight minima around 26–27°C under cloudy skies, consistent with June climatology where urban heat island effects and moisture typically keep daily lows above 25°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory project above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, supporting elevated overnight readings, while current observations show temperatures holding in the upper 20s°C range through midday. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar cloudy, humid patterns reinforce the market's emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$31,575Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C low for Hong Kong on June 14, reflecting persistent subtropical conditions with high humidity near 90% and northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional models indicate overnight minima around 26–27°C under cloudy skies, consistent with June climatology where urban heat island effects and moisture typically keep daily lows above 25°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory project above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, supporting elevated overnight readings, while current observations show temperatures holding in the upper 20s°C range through midday. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar cloudy, humid patterns reinforce the market's emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,575Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C low for Hong Kong on June 14, reflecting persistent subtropical conditions with high humidity near 90% and northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional models indicate overnight minima around 26–27°C under cloudy skies, consistent with June climatology where urban heat island effects and moisture typically keep daily lows above 25°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory project above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, supporting elevated overnight readings, while current observations show temperatures holding in the upper 20s°C range through midday. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar cloudy, humid patterns reinforce the market's emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over lower thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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