Current forecast consensus from global models and UK Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight into September 12, 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and daytime highs near 23°C. This aligns closely with recent GFS runs showing hourly lows around 13–15°C and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.8°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for 14°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions and limited model spread. A sharper nocturnal temperature drop under unexpected clear skies or a model revision incorporating stronger high pressure could still shift the realized minimum toward 12–13°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 12 de septiembre?
14°C 99.6%
13°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,350 Vol.
$12,350 Vol.
12 sep 2026
8°C o inferior
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o más
<1%
14°C 99.6%
13°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,350 Vol.
$12,350 Vol.
12 sep 2026
8°C o inferior
$57 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$584 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,649 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5,115 Vol.
100%
15°C
$2,156 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
18°C o más
$973 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global models and UK Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight into September 12, 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and daytime highs near 23°C. This aligns closely with recent GFS runs showing hourly lows around 13–15°C and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.8°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for 14°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions and limited model spread. A sharper nocturnal temperature drop under unexpected clear skies or a model revision incorporating stronger high pressure could still shift the realized minimum toward 12–13°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$12,350Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global models and UK Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight into September 12, 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and daytime highs near 23°C. This aligns closely with recent GFS runs showing hourly lows around 13–15°C and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.8°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for 14°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions and limited model spread. A sharper nocturnal temperature drop under unexpected clear skies or a model revision incorporating stronger high pressure could still shift the realized minimum toward 12–13°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,350Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from global models and UK Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight into September 12, 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and daytime highs near 23°C. This aligns closely with recent GFS runs showing hourly lows around 13–15°C and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.8°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for 14°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions and limited model spread. A sharper nocturnal temperature drop under unexpected clear skies or a model revision incorporating stronger high pressure could still shift the realized minimum toward 12–13°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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