Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models point to overnight lows of 13–15°C in London on September 22, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High pressure and light winds are promoting clear skies and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–24°C, though a mild southerly flow limits deeper chill. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and wind timing, with the lowest readings expected in the pre-dawn hours. Historical September minima average near 12°C, but the current warm anomaly and stable pattern favor values at the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 22 de septiembre?
10°C o menos 79%
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
13°C 24%
10°C o menos
79%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
24%
14°C
29%
15°C
26%
16°C
18%
17°C
14%
18°C
20%
19°C
5%
20°C o más
2%
10°C o menos 79%
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
13°C 24%
10°C o menos
79%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
24%
14°C
29%
15°C
26%
16°C
18%
17°C
14%
18°C
20%
19°C
5%
20°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models point to overnight lows of 13–15°C in London on September 22, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High pressure and light winds are promoting clear skies and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–24°C, though a mild southerly flow limits deeper chill. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and wind timing, with the lowest readings expected in the pre-dawn hours. Historical September minima average near 12°C, but the current warm anomaly and stable pattern favor values at the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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