Current forecasts from major models indicate a mild overnight low for Madrid on September 15 around 17–20°C under clear skies and light winds, with daytime highs near 34–35°C. This positions the minimum near historical September averages of 15.5°C while recent conditions favor limited radiative cooling due to stable high pressure. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 12–22°C range. Upcoming model runs and official observations will refine the outcome as the night progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 15 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 15 de septiembre?
12°C o menos 77%
22°C o más 63%
16°C 30%
15°C 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
12°C o menos
77%
13°C
17%
14°C
22%
15°C
24%
16°C
30%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
14%
22°C o más
63%
12°C o menos 77%
22°C o más 63%
16°C 30%
15°C 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$10 Vol.
77%
13°C
$10 Vol.
17%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
30%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$8 Vol.
21%
21°C
$10 Vol.
14%
22°C o más
$10 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a mild overnight low for Madrid on September 15 around 17–20°C under clear skies and light winds, with daytime highs near 34–35°C. This positions the minimum near historical September averages of 15.5°C while recent conditions favor limited radiative cooling due to stable high pressure. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 12–22°C range. Upcoming model runs and official observations will refine the outcome as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$48Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a mild overnight low for Madrid on September 15 around 17–20°C under clear skies and light winds, with daytime highs near 34–35°C. This positions the minimum near historical September averages of 15.5°C while recent conditions favor limited radiative cooling due to stable high pressure. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 12–22°C range. Upcoming model runs and official observations will refine the outcome as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$48Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models indicate a mild overnight low for Madrid on September 15 around 17–20°C under clear skies and light winds, with daytime highs near 34–35°C. This positions the minimum near historical September averages of 15.5°C while recent conditions favor limited radiative cooling due to stable high pressure. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 12–22°C range. Upcoming model runs and official observations will refine the outcome as the night progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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