Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure near 1023 hPa, consistent with typical early September Po Valley conditions. Recent model runs show limited spread in low temperatures, with daytime highs reaching 25–26°C before radiative cooling begins after sunset. This setup supports the market's clustered probabilities around mid-teens to low-20s Celsius while assigning notable implied odds to both cooler and warmer extremes, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final recorded low used for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 13 de septiembre?
11°C o menos 49%
21°C o más 48%
18°C 38%
20°C 37%
11°C o menos
49%
12°C
16%
13°C
10%
14°C
24%
15°C
32%
16°C
28%
17°C
20%
18°C
38%
19°C
15%
20°C
37%
21°C o más
48%
11°C o menos 49%
21°C o más 48%
18°C 38%
20°C 37%
11°C o menos
49%
12°C
16%
13°C
10%
14°C
24%
15°C
32%
16°C
28%
17°C
20%
18°C
38%
19°C
15%
20°C
37%
21°C o más
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure near 1023 hPa, consistent with typical early September Po Valley conditions. Recent model runs show limited spread in low temperatures, with daytime highs reaching 25–26°C before radiative cooling begins after sunset. This setup supports the market's clustered probabilities around mid-teens to low-20s Celsius while assigning notable implied odds to both cooler and warmer extremes, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final recorded low used for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes