Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 7°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–7 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.2°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations through the evening support a minimum near 8°C, with daytime highs reaching 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 8°C reflects this strong agreement across authoritative sources. Realistic challenges include late forecast revisions from rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies or shifts in wind patterns that could push the low to 7°C or 9°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 14 de septiembre?
8°C 99.5%
7°C 1.0%
5°C o menos <1%
6°C <1%
$1,144 Vol.
$1,144 Vol.
14 sep 2026
5°C o menos
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Sí
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C o más
No
8°C 99.5%
7°C 1.0%
5°C o menos <1%
6°C <1%
$1,144 Vol.
$1,144 Vol.
14 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$117 Vol.
No
6°C
$102 Vol.
No
7°C
$154 Vol.
No
8°C
$329 Vol.
Sí
9°C
$441 Vol.
No
10°C
$0 Vol.
No
11°C
$0 Vol.
No
12°C
$0 Vol.
No
13°C
$0 Vol.
No
14°C
$0 Vol.
No
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 7°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–7 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.2°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations through the evening support a minimum near 8°C, with daytime highs reaching 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 8°C reflects this strong agreement across authoritative sources. Realistic challenges include late forecast revisions from rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies or shifts in wind patterns that could push the low to 7°C or 9°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,144Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 7°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–7 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.2°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations through the evening support a minimum near 8°C, with daytime highs reaching 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 8°C reflects this strong agreement across authoritative sources. Realistic challenges include late forecast revisions from rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies or shifts in wind patterns that could push the low to 7°C or 9°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,144Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 7°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–7 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.2°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations through the evening support a minimum near 8°C, with daytime highs reaching 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 8°C reflects this strong agreement across authoritative sources. Realistic challenges include late forecast revisions from rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies or shifts in wind patterns that could push the low to 7°C or 9°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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