Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to a September 1 overnight low in Paris near 13–14°C, driven by a transitioning air mass with light westerly flow, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer intervals overnight would enhance surface heat loss and favor the lower end near 12–13°C, while persistent low clouds or slight warm advection from the Atlantic would support a 15°C minimum. Historical climatology for early September shows an average low around 13°C, and current conditions lack the high-pressure stability or cold-air outbreaks that could push extremes, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values with limited upside for sub-12°C readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 1 de septiembre?
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
13°C 25%
16°C 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C o menos
9%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
14%
13°C
25%
14°C
30%
15°C
31%
16°C
21%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C o más
2%
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
13°C 25%
16°C 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$0 Vol.
9%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
14%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
30%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to a September 1 overnight low in Paris near 13–14°C, driven by a transitioning air mass with light westerly flow, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer intervals overnight would enhance surface heat loss and favor the lower end near 12–13°C, while persistent low clouds or slight warm advection from the Atlantic would support a 15°C minimum. Historical climatology for early September shows an average low around 13°C, and current conditions lack the high-pressure stability or cold-air outbreaks that could push extremes, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values with limited upside for sub-12°C readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to a September 1 overnight low in Paris near 13–14°C, driven by a transitioning air mass with light westerly flow, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer intervals overnight would enhance surface heat loss and favor the lower end near 12–13°C, while persistent low clouds or slight warm advection from the Atlantic would support a 15°C minimum. Historical climatology for early September shows an average low around 13°C, and current conditions lack the high-pressure stability or cold-air outbreaks that could push extremes, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values with limited upside for sub-12°C readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to a September 1 overnight low in Paris near 13–14°C, driven by a transitioning air mass with light westerly flow, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer intervals overnight would enhance surface heat loss and favor the lower end near 12–13°C, while persistent low clouds or slight warm advection from the Atlantic would support a 15°C minimum. Historical climatology for early September shows an average low around 13°C, and current conditions lack the high-pressure stability or cold-air outbreaks that could push extremes, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values with limited upside for sub-12°C readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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