Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 11 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 11 de septiembre?
23°C 100.0%
19°C o menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
11 sep 2026
19°C o menos
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sí
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o más
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C o menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
11 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$535 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,159 Vol.
No
21°C
$696 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,564 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,871 Vol.
Sí
24°C
$2,360 Vol.
No
25°C
$880 Vol.
No
26°C
$141 Vol.
No
27°C
$191 Vol.
No
28°C
$201 Vol.
No
29°C o más
$183 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$14,782Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,782Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes