Recent forecasts from sources including the Central Weather Administration and numerical models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Taipei on September 16 likely falling between 23–25 °C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity near 80–90 %, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Light drizzle or overcast conditions in some runs suppress the diurnal range, while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings near dawn. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24 °C and 25 °C reflects genuine uncertainty across ensemble members regarding exact timing of any clearing and wind speeds, with official guidance showing minimal day-to-day change from current 24–25 °C lows. Updated model runs and the next Central Weather Administration briefing will provide the clearest near-term signals for resolution.