**Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs position a 24–25 °C peak as the most probable outcome for London’s maximum temperature on 14 September.** Afternoon readings are expected to reach these levels under a mix of cloud and sunny intervals with light southwesterly flow, keeping conditions above the seasonal average while falling short of heatwave thresholds. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 26 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation. Traders have priced this consensus directly, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 14 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 14 de septiembre?
24°C 45%
25°C 28%
23°C 18%
26°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
18%
24°C
45%
25°C
28%
26°C
6%
27°C o más
2%
24°C 45%
25°C 28%
23°C 18%
26°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$143 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$508 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$428 Vol.
1%
22°C
$512 Vol.
3%
23°C
$1,441 Vol.
18%
24°C
$2,866 Vol.
45%
25°C
$968 Vol.
28%
26°C
$1,021 Vol.
6%
27°C o más
$245 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs position a 24–25 °C peak as the most probable outcome for London’s maximum temperature on 14 September.** Afternoon readings are expected to reach these levels under a mix of cloud and sunny intervals with light southwesterly flow, keeping conditions above the seasonal average while falling short of heatwave thresholds. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 26 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation. Traders have priced this consensus directly, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$8,358Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs position a 24–25 °C peak as the most probable outcome for London’s maximum temperature on 14 September.** Afternoon readings are expected to reach these levels under a mix of cloud and sunny intervals with light southwesterly flow, keeping conditions above the seasonal average while falling short of heatwave thresholds. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 26 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation. Traders have priced this consensus directly, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,358Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs position a 24–25 °C peak as the most probable outcome for London’s maximum temperature on 14 September.** Afternoon readings are expected to reach these levels under a mix of cloud and sunny intervals with light southwesterly flow, keeping conditions above the seasonal average while falling short of heatwave thresholds. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 26 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation. Traders have priced this consensus directly, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes