Maryland’s 7th congressional district encompasses Baltimore and surrounding areas with a longstanding Democratic voter base, reflected in the incumbent’s 80 percent-plus margin in the prior cycle. Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary without significant opposition, while the Republican nominee, Scott Collier, emerged from an uncontested primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, and fundraising and turnout patterns have historically favored the Democratic candidate. The current trader consensus assigning roughly 97 percent probability to a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors. A major scandal, acute health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$24,365 Vol.
$24,365 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
97%
Partido Republicano
2%
$24,365 Vol.
$24,365 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$9,092 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district encompasses Baltimore and surrounding areas with a longstanding Democratic voter base, reflected in the incumbent’s 80 percent-plus margin in the prior cycle. Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary without significant opposition, while the Republican nominee, Scott Collier, emerged from an uncontested primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, and fundraising and turnout patterns have historically favored the Democratic candidate. The current trader consensus assigning roughly 97 percent probability to a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors. A major scandal, acute health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$24,365Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district encompasses Baltimore and surrounding areas with a longstanding Democratic voter base, reflected in the incumbent’s 80 percent-plus margin in the prior cycle. Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary without significant opposition, while the Republican nominee, Scott Collier, emerged from an uncontested primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, and fundraising and turnout patterns have historically favored the Democratic candidate. The current trader consensus assigning roughly 97 percent probability to a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors. A major scandal, acute health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,365Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district encompasses Baltimore and surrounding areas with a longstanding Democratic voter base, reflected in the incumbent’s 80 percent-plus margin in the prior cycle. Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary without significant opposition, while the Republican nominee, Scott Collier, emerged from an uncontested primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, and fundraising and turnout patterns have historically favored the Democratic candidate. The current trader consensus assigning roughly 97 percent probability to a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors. A major scandal, acute health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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