PAN maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in Mexico's 2027 legislative elections because recent opinion polls show it consistently trailing Morena while outpacing PRI, PVEM, and MC among decided voters. Morena's favorability has eased from prior highs yet its coalition retains a structural advantage in seat projections, leaving the main opposition slot open. PAN benefits from established regional bases and its role in prior anti-incumbent coalitions, while PRI's membership decline and MC's lower polling limit their momentum. No major legislative or candidate developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, keeping the implied probabilities stable ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 73%
PRI 12.8%
PVEM 7%
PT 1.1%
$50,266 Vol.
$50,266 Vol.
6 jun 2027
PAN
73%
PRI
13%
PT
1%
PVEM
7%
MC
1%
Morena
1%
PAN 73%
PRI 12.8%
PVEM 7%
PT 1.1%
$50,266 Vol.
$50,266 Vol.
6 jun 2027
PAN
$23,684 Vol.
73%
PRI
$8,820 Vol.
13%
PT
$5,194 Vol.
1%
PVEM
$7,862 Vol.
7%
MC
$1,818 Vol.
1%
Morena
$2,888 Vol.
1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).PAN maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in Mexico's 2027 legislative elections because recent opinion polls show it consistently trailing Morena while outpacing PRI, PVEM, and MC among decided voters. Morena's favorability has eased from prior highs yet its coalition retains a structural advantage in seat projections, leaving the main opposition slot open. PAN benefits from established regional bases and its role in prior anti-incumbent coalitions, while PRI's membership decline and MC's lower polling limit their momentum. No major legislative or candidate developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, keeping the implied probabilities stable ahead of the June 2027 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volumen
$50,266Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).PAN maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in Mexico's 2027 legislative elections because recent opinion polls show it consistently trailing Morena while outpacing PRI, PVEM, and MC among decided voters. Morena's favorability has eased from prior highs yet its coalition retains a structural advantage in seat projections, leaving the main opposition slot open. PAN benefits from established regional bases and its role in prior anti-incumbent coalitions, while PRI's membership decline and MC's lower polling limit their momentum. No major legislative or candidate developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, keeping the implied probabilities stable ahead of the June 2027 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volumen
$50,266Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAN maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in Mexico's 2027 legislative elections because recent opinion polls show it consistently trailing Morena while outpacing PRI, PVEM, and MC among decided voters. Morena's favorability has eased from prior highs yet its coalition retains a structural advantage in seat projections, leaving the main opposition slot open. PAN benefits from established regional bases and its role in prior anti-incumbent coalitions, while PRI's membership decline and MC's lower polling limit their momentum. No major legislative or candidate developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, keeping the implied probabilities stable ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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