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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

Stefany Shaheen 69%

Maura Sullivan 29%

Heath Howard 2.7%

Carleigh Beriont 1.6%

Polymarket

$26,351 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen 69%

Maura Sullivan 29%

Heath Howard 2.7%

Carleigh Beriont 1.6%

Polymarket

$26,351 Vol.

icon for Stefany Shaheen

Stefany Shaheen

$14,180 Vol.

69%

icon for Maura Sullivan

Maura Sullivan

$6,727 Vol.

29%

icon for Heath Howard

Heath Howard

$2,251 Vol.

3%

icon for Carleigh Beriont

Carleigh Beriont

$3,192 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stefany Shaheen maintains a clear lead in the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary race ahead of the September 8 vote, bolstered by recent high-profile endorsements including from Sen. Mark Kelly and the American Federation of Teachers, along with strong local name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and her prior service on the Portsmouth city council. Trader consensus reflects this positioning, with Shaheen favored over Maura Sullivan, whose campaign emphasizes her Marine Corps background, prior Obama administration role, and higher recent fundraising totals as she seeks to narrow the gap by appealing to voters wary of political dynasties. Lower-polling candidates like state Rep. Heath Howard and Hampton selectwoman Carleigh Beriont remain on the margins amid a crowded field of nine Democrats.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$26,351
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stefany Shaheen maintains a clear lead in the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary race ahead of the September 8 vote, bolstered by recent high-profile endorsements including from Sen. Mark Kelly and the American Federation of Teachers, along with strong local name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and her prior service on the Portsmouth city council. Trader consensus reflects this positioning, with Shaheen favored over Maura Sullivan, whose campaign emphasizes her Marine Corps background, prior Obama administration role, and higher recent fundraising totals as she seeks to narrow the gap by appealing to voters wary of political dynasties. Lower-polling candidates like state Rep. Heath Howard and Hampton selectwoman Carleigh Beriont remain on the margins amid a crowded field of nine Democrats.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$26,351
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Stefany Shaheen" con 69%, seguido de "Maura Sullivan" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 69¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" ha generado $26.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es "Stefany Shaheen" con 69%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Maura Sullivan" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.