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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 Vol.

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 Vol.

Brad Lander

$4,962 Vol.

83%

Dan Goldman

$2,469 Vol.

18%

Cameron Kasky

$1,591 Vol.

<1%

Alexa Avilés

$1,608 Vol.

<1%

Yuh-Line Niou

$1,313 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a recent Schoen Cooperman Research poll of likely voters—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing him ahead 47%-42% over incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman. Lander's high name recognition in the district's Brooklyn strongholds like Park Slope bolsters his position, augmented by endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and SEIU 32BJ. Goldman, at 18.5%, counters with self-funding millions, a May 11 rally alongside Gov. Kathy Hochul, and today's UFT endorsement, yet traders price in Lander's edge amid progressive vs. establishment tensions. Other candidates trail with negligible support due to limited traction. Late shifts from spending or endorsements could narrow the gap.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$11,942
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a recent Schoen Cooperman Research poll of likely voters—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing him ahead 47%-42% over incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman. Lander's high name recognition in the district's Brooklyn strongholds like Park Slope bolsters his position, augmented by endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and SEIU 32BJ. Goldman, at 18.5%, counters with self-funding millions, a May 11 rally alongside Gov. Kathy Hochul, and today's UFT endorsement, yet traders price in Lander's edge amid progressive vs. establishment tensions. Other candidates trail with negligible support due to limited traction. Late shifts from spending or endorsements could narrow the gap.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$11,942
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Brad Lander" con 83%, seguido de "Dan Goldman" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 83¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" ha generado $11.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" es "Brad Lander" con 83%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dan Goldman" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.