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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08

Hakeem Jeffries 93.5%

Vance Bostic 1.7%

Chi Ossé <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Hakeem Jeffries 93.5%

Vance Bostic 1.7%

Chi Ossé <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$6,535 Vol.

93%

icon for Vance Bostic

Vance Bostic

$634 Vol.

2%

icon for Chi Ossé

Chi Ossé

$330 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Minority Leader and the district's strong Democratic lean (D+24) drive trader consensus at 93.5% for the NY-08 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting historical base rates where congressional incumbents win renomination over 95% of the time.** Progressive NYC Councilmember Chi Ossé filed in November 2025 and challenger Vance Bostic entered by the April filing deadline, but neither has shown polling traction, fundraising momentum, or key endorsements to threaten upset in this Brooklyn-based battleground for party control. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a surge in challenger turnout among progressive voters, markets price minimal risk to Jeffries' path to renomination.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$7,499
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Minority Leader and the district's strong Democratic lean (D+24) drive trader consensus at 93.5% for the NY-08 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting historical base rates where congressional incumbents win renomination over 95% of the time.** Progressive NYC Councilmember Chi Ossé filed in November 2025 and challenger Vance Bostic entered by the April filing deadline, but neither has shown polling traction, fundraising momentum, or key endorsements to threaten upset in this Brooklyn-based battleground for party control. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a surge in challenger turnout among progressive voters, markets price minimal risk to Jeffries' path to renomination.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$7,499
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 93%, seguido de "Vance Bostic" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 11, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08" es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Vance Bostic" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.