Incumbent Republican John Joyce faces Democrat Beth Farnham in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its rural South Central Pennsylvania composition and partisan voting index—combined with Joyce’s established incumbency and lack of serious primary opposition underpin trader consensus around a 94-95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with historical margins and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. A late scandal, health development, or broader national electoral wave could still narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-13
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-13
$15,316 Vol.
$15,316 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$15,316 Vol.
$15,316 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,886 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$5,430 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce faces Democrat Beth Farnham in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its rural South Central Pennsylvania composition and partisan voting index—combined with Joyce’s established incumbency and lack of serious primary opposition underpin trader consensus around a 94-95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with historical margins and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. A late scandal, health development, or broader national electoral wave could still narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$15,316Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce faces Democrat Beth Farnham in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its rural South Central Pennsylvania composition and partisan voting index—combined with Joyce’s established incumbency and lack of serious primary opposition underpin trader consensus around a 94-95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with historical margins and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. A late scandal, health development, or broader national electoral wave could still narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,316Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Joyce faces Democrat Beth Farnham in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its rural South Central Pennsylvania composition and partisan voting index—combined with Joyce’s established incumbency and lack of serious primary opposition underpin trader consensus around a 94-95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with historical margins and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. A late scandal, health development, or broader national electoral wave could still narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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