In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied with Democrat Xavier Becerra at 19-23%, while Democrat Tom Steyer trails at 15-19% and Republican Chad Bianco at 12-14%. The crowded Democratic field—including Katie Porter and Matt Mahan—has split liberal votes, enabling Hilton's surge amid high undecideds (15-25%) and key issues like housing affordability and the economy highlighted in April debates. Eric Swalwell's April exit consolidated some Democratic support behind Becerra but kept the race fluid, lowering Dem-Dem odds to 26.5% absent further consolidation, with Rep-Rep at 3.3% as polls show no dual-Republican top-two path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDem-Rep 74%
Dem-Dem 26%
Rep-Rep 3.3%
$72,000 Vol.
$72,000 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Dem-Rep
74%
Dem-Dem
26%
Rep-Rep
3%
Dem-Rep 74%
Dem-Dem 26%
Rep-Rep 3.3%
$72,000 Vol.
$72,000 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Dem-Rep
$30,396 Vol.
74%
Dem-Dem
$30,005 Vol.
26%
Rep-Rep
$11,599 Vol.
3%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied with Democrat Xavier Becerra at 19-23%, while Democrat Tom Steyer trails at 15-19% and Republican Chad Bianco at 12-14%. The crowded Democratic field—including Katie Porter and Matt Mahan—has split liberal votes, enabling Hilton's surge amid high undecideds (15-25%) and key issues like housing affordability and the economy highlighted in April debates. Eric Swalwell's April exit consolidated some Democratic support behind Becerra but kept the race fluid, lowering Dem-Dem odds to 26.5% absent further consolidation, with Rep-Rep at 3.3% as polls show no dual-Republican top-two path.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado abierto: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Volumen
$72,000Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied with Democrat Xavier Becerra at 19-23%, while Democrat Tom Steyer trails at 15-19% and Republican Chad Bianco at 12-14%. The crowded Democratic field—including Katie Porter and Matt Mahan—has split liberal votes, enabling Hilton's surge amid high undecideds (15-25%) and key issues like housing affordability and the economy highlighted in April debates. Eric Swalwell's April exit consolidated some Democratic support behind Becerra but kept the race fluid, lowering Dem-Dem odds to 26.5% absent further consolidation, with Rep-Rep at 3.3% as polls show no dual-Republican top-two path.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$72,000Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied with Democrat Xavier Becerra at 19-23%, while Democrat Tom Steyer trails at 15-19% and Republican Chad Bianco at 12-14%. The crowded Democratic field—including Katie Porter and Matt Mahan—has split liberal votes, enabling Hilton's surge amid high undecideds (15-25%) and key issues like housing affordability and the economy highlighted in April debates. Eric Swalwell's April exit consolidated some Democratic support behind Becerra but kept the race fluid, lowering Dem-Dem odds to 26.5% absent further consolidation, with Rep-Rep at 3.3% as polls show no dual-Republican top-two path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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