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icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar

Jorge Nieto 83.2%

Ricardo Belmont <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Keiko Fujimori <1%

Polymarket

$469,179 Vol.

Jorge Nieto 83.2%

Ricardo Belmont <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Keiko Fujimori <1%

Polymarket

$469,179 Vol.

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$54,748 Vol.

91%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$223,635 Vol.

1%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$60,466 Vol.

1%

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$2,042 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$5,121 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$9,067 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$856 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$1,116 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$6,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$3,676 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$2,679 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$2,795 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$52,751 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$3,346 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$4,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$3,610 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$4,353 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$7,705 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$4,206 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$3,768 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$3,658 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$4,351 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$4,238 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Jorge Nieto holds a commanding lead for fourth place in Peru's April 12, 2026, presidential first-round election, with ONPE's 99.99% tally as of May 14 showing him at 10.97% (1.84 million votes), ahead of Ricardo Belmont's 10.14% (1.70 million votes). This trader consensus at 90.8% reflects stabilized official counts after initial delays, ballot disputes, and police scrutiny at election offices, placing Keiko Fujimori first (17.18%), Roberto Sánchez second (12.03%), and Rafael López Aliaga third (11.91%). The JNE has certified the June 7 runoff, leaving scant room for shifts barring improbable recounts or legal reversals in the minuscule uncounted ballots.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$469,179
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Jorge Nieto holds a commanding lead for fourth place in Peru's April 12, 2026, presidential first-round election, with ONPE's 99.99% tally as of May 14 showing him at 10.97% (1.84 million votes), ahead of Ricardo Belmont's 10.14% (1.70 million votes). This trader consensus at 90.8% reflects stabilized official counts after initial delays, ballot disputes, and police scrutiny at election offices, placing Keiko Fujimori first (17.18%), Roberto Sánchez second (12.03%), and Rafael López Aliaga third (11.91%). The JNE has certified the June 7 runoff, leaving scant room for shifts barring improbable recounts or legal reversals in the minuscule uncounted ballots.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$469,179
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jorge Nieto" con 91%, seguido de "Ricardo Belmont" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar" ha generado $469.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar" es "Jorge Nieto" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ricardo Belmont" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.