Z.ai's 63% implied probability stems from its recent large language model releases demonstrating superior performance on math reasoning benchmarks, outpacing several rivals in handling complex problem-solving and quantitative tasks. This specialized edge in AI capabilities has shifted trader consensus ahead of the September 30 resolution, while broader platforms from Google, Meta, and OpenAI register lower odds amid more general-purpose advancements. Many mid-tier labs and the "Other" category hover near even money due to limited public data on their latest math-specific evaluations. As the deadline nears, any final benchmark updates or capability demonstrations could influence outcomes, though current market-implied odds reflect aggregated sentiment from traders with real capital at stake.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoZ.ai 63.0%
Alibaba 17%
Google 12%
Meta 6.0%
$66,539 Vol.
$66,539 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Z.ai
63%
Alibaba
17%
12%
Meta
6%
OpenAI
5%
Moonshot
5%
SpaceXAI
1%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 63.0%
Alibaba 17%
Google 12%
Meta 6.0%
$66,539 Vol.
$66,539 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Z.ai
$7,751 Vol.
63%
Alibaba
$14,096 Vol.
17%
$7,963 Vol.
12%
Meta
$2,007 Vol.
6%
OpenAI
$9,945 Vol.
5%
Moonshot
$3,024 Vol.
5%
SpaceXAI
$2,002 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$1,803 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,535 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$2,649 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$2,720 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$2,642 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,560 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$743 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$756 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$575 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$916 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$698 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Z.ai's 63% implied probability stems from its recent large language model releases demonstrating superior performance on math reasoning benchmarks, outpacing several rivals in handling complex problem-solving and quantitative tasks. This specialized edge in AI capabilities has shifted trader consensus ahead of the September 30 resolution, while broader platforms from Google, Meta, and OpenAI register lower odds amid more general-purpose advancements. Many mid-tier labs and the "Other" category hover near even money due to limited public data on their latest math-specific evaluations. As the deadline nears, any final benchmark updates or capability demonstrations could influence outcomes, though current market-implied odds reflect aggregated sentiment from traders with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Volumen
$66,539Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Z.ai's 63% implied probability stems from its recent large language model releases demonstrating superior performance on math reasoning benchmarks, outpacing several rivals in handling complex problem-solving and quantitative tasks. This specialized edge in AI capabilities has shifted trader consensus ahead of the September 30 resolution, while broader platforms from Google, Meta, and OpenAI register lower odds amid more general-purpose advancements. Many mid-tier labs and the "Other" category hover near even money due to limited public data on their latest math-specific evaluations. As the deadline nears, any final benchmark updates or capability demonstrations could influence outcomes, though current market-implied odds reflect aggregated sentiment from traders with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$66,539Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Z.ai's 63% implied probability stems from its recent large language model releases demonstrating superior performance on math reasoning benchmarks, outpacing several rivals in handling complex problem-solving and quantitative tasks. This specialized edge in AI capabilities has shifted trader consensus ahead of the September 30 resolution, while broader platforms from Google, Meta, and OpenAI register lower odds amid more general-purpose advancements. Many mid-tier labs and the "Other" category hover near even money due to limited public data on their latest math-specific evaluations. As the deadline nears, any final benchmark updates or capability demonstrations could influence outcomes, though current market-implied odds reflect aggregated sentiment from traders with real capital at stake.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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