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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19

Tom Sell 98.4%

Abraham Enriquez 1.3%

Matthew Smith <1%

Ryan Zink <1%

Polymarket

$72,796 Vol.

Tom Sell 98.4%

Abraham Enriquez 1.3%

Matthew Smith <1%

Ryan Zink <1%

Polymarket

$72,796 Vol.

Tom Sell

$47,328 Vol.

98%

Abraham Enriquez

$11,040 Vol.

1%

Matthew Smith

$3,285 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Zink

$1,932 Vol.

<1%

Jason Corley

$1,866 Vol.

<1%

Donald May

$3,931 Vol.

<1%

James Barbee

$3,414 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's commanding 98.4% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican primary runoff stems from his 40% first-round plurality on March 3, followed by endorsements from dropped primary rivals and national GOP leaders including Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Whip Tom Emmer, and Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, signaling establishment consolidation. Recent local backing from West Texas farmers and a supportive PAC injection of over $20,000 further bolster trader consensus on his momentum against Abraham Enriquez ahead of early voting starting May 18 and election day May 26. While deeply entrenched as a fifth-generation Lubbock native emphasizing agriculture and conservative values in retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington's safe district, a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or unexpected scandal could narrow the gap in this low-turnout contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$72,796
Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's commanding 98.4% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican primary runoff stems from his 40% first-round plurality on March 3, followed by endorsements from dropped primary rivals and national GOP leaders including Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Whip Tom Emmer, and Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, signaling establishment consolidation. Recent local backing from West Texas farmers and a supportive PAC injection of over $20,000 further bolster trader consensus on his momentum against Abraham Enriquez ahead of early voting starting May 18 and election day May 26. While deeply entrenched as a fifth-generation Lubbock native emphasizing agriculture and conservative values in retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington's safe district, a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or unexpected scandal could narrow the gap in this low-turnout contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$72,796
Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Sell" con 98%, seguido de "Abraham Enriquez" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19" ha generado $72.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19" es "Tom Sell" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Abraham Enriquez" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.