Recent high-level US-China economic talks in New York, including an eight-hour session on September 20 between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on implementing the Board of Trade mechanism for carving out non-sensitive goods from tariff actions and advancing reciprocal reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. These discussions build on the May 2026 summit framework and precede the September 24 Trump-Xi meeting, amid efforts to extend the trade truce set to expire November 10. Official statements described the atmosphere as constructive, with continued working groups addressing tariffs alongside AI notifications and critical minerals. Traders appear to view these steps, plus prior commitments capping additional duties around 20 percent, as strong indicators that a tariff agreement will materialize before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado89% probabilidad
$260,121 Vol.
$260,121 Vol.
31 dic 2026
89% probabilidad
$260,121 Vol.
$260,121 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic talks in New York, including an eight-hour session on September 20 between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on implementing the Board of Trade mechanism for carving out non-sensitive goods from tariff actions and advancing reciprocal reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. These discussions build on the May 2026 summit framework and precede the September 24 Trump-Xi meeting, amid efforts to extend the trade truce set to expire November 10. Official statements described the atmosphere as constructive, with continued working groups addressing tariffs alongside AI notifications and critical minerals. Traders appear to view these steps, plus prior commitments capping additional duties around 20 percent, as strong indicators that a tariff agreement will materialize before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Volumen
$260,121Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic talks in New York, including an eight-hour session on September 20 between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on implementing the Board of Trade mechanism for carving out non-sensitive goods from tariff actions and advancing reciprocal reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. These discussions build on the May 2026 summit framework and precede the September 24 Trump-Xi meeting, amid efforts to extend the trade truce set to expire November 10. Official statements described the atmosphere as constructive, with continued working groups addressing tariffs alongside AI notifications and critical minerals. Traders appear to view these steps, plus prior commitments capping additional duties around 20 percent, as strong indicators that a tariff agreement will materialize before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$260,121Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent high-level US-China economic talks in New York, including an eight-hour session on September 20 between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on implementing the Board of Trade mechanism for carving out non-sensitive goods from tariff actions and advancing reciprocal reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. These discussions build on the May 2026 summit framework and precede the September 24 Trump-Xi meeting, amid efforts to extend the trade truce set to expire November 10. Official statements described the atmosphere as constructive, with continued working groups addressing tariffs alongside AI notifications and critical minerals. Traders appear to view these steps, plus prior commitments capping additional duties around 20 percent, as strong indicators that a tariff agreement will materialize before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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