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Geopolítica·Trump

¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?
Geopolítica·Trump

¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

$268,664 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$268,664 Vol.

Polymarket

Corea del Sur

$55,095 Vol.

27%

Canadá

$2,417 Vol.

25%

India

$38,411 Vol.

25%

Brasil

$3,158 Vol.

19%

Reino Unido

$419 Vol.

22%

Israel

$343 Vol.

16%

Sudáfrica

$354 Vol.

15%

Australia

$5,197 Vol.

15%

Vietnam

$5,155 Vol.

14%

Argentina

$19,939 Vol.

14%

México

$1,850 Vol.

14%

Indonesia

$18,708 Vol.

13%

Japón

$5,093 Vol.

13%

Pakistán

$71,400 Vol.

13%

Rusia

$1,979 Vol.

12%

Taiwán

$31,675 Vol.

10%

Unión Europea

$7,470 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy centers on reciprocal agreements that adjust baseline tariffs imposed in 2025, with multiple framework deals already concluded or finalized through mid-2026. Key recent outcomes include the U.S.-UK Economic Prosperity Deal, U.S.-Japan Strategic Trade and Investment Agreement, frameworks with South Korea, the EU, Indonesia, and Taiwan, plus announced pacts with Argentina, India, and several Southeast Asian nations following the January 2026 Asia tour. Ongoing processes include the scheduled 2026 USMCA review with Canada and Mexico, continued bilateral talks with the EU and China, and potential new arrangements tied to supply-chain and critical-minerals priorities. Traders monitor announcement pace, Senate or executive-order implementation timelines, and any tariff adjustments or extensions through 2027 as primary signals of additional country outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$268,664
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy centers on reciprocal agreements that adjust baseline tariffs imposed in 2025, with multiple framework deals already concluded or finalized through mid-2026. Key recent outcomes include the U.S.-UK Economic Prosperity Deal, U.S.-Japan Strategic Trade and Investment Agreement, frameworks with South Korea, the EU, Indonesia, and Taiwan, plus announced pacts with Argentina, India, and several Southeast Asian nations following the January 2026 Asia tour. Ongoing processes include the scheduled 2026 USMCA review with Canada and Mexico, continued bilateral talks with the EU and China, and potential new arrangements tied to supply-chain and critical-minerals priorities. Traders monitor announcement pace, Senate or executive-order implementation timelines, and any tariff adjustments or extensions through 2027 as primary signals of additional country outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$268,664
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Corea del Sur" con 27%, seguido de "Canadá" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?" ha generado $268.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?" es "Corea del Sur" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Canadá" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.