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icon for ¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

ene 1, 2027

ene 1, 2027

$1,667,968 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,667,968 Vol.

Polymarket

Kuwait

$76,262 Vol.

9%

Arabia Saudita

$352,096 Vol.

9%

Somalilandia

$117,089 Vol.

9%

Líbano

$77,035 Vol.

8%

Siria

$164,512 Vol.

7%

Jordan

$9,994 Vol.

7%

Egypt

$7,414 Vol.

6%

Qatar

$8,800 Vol.

5%

Omán

$182,170 Vol.

5%

Azerbaiyán

$175,784 Vol.

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 Vol.

3%

Turkey

$487,763 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kuwait has emerged as the most frequently cited near-term candidate following Israeli Ambassador to the UAE Yossi Shelley’s mid-September 2026 statement that another country, possibly Kuwait, could accede within four to six months. This comes after Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025, the first expansion since the original 2020 signatories. Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile prospect but faces persistent hurdles, including Riyadh’s insistence on a credible Palestinian statehood pathway before normalization and recent defense ties with Pakistan that complicate sequencing. U.S. officials have tied Saudi civil nuclear cooperation to Abraham Accords membership, yet no breakthrough has materialized. Other mentioned possibilities include Azerbaijan, Oman, or post-Hezbollah-disarmament Lebanon, though none have advanced concrete timelines. Trader focus centers on whether Kuwaiti talks accelerate amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli diplomatic pressure before year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,667,968
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kuwait has emerged as the most frequently cited near-term candidate following Israeli Ambassador to the UAE Yossi Shelley’s mid-September 2026 statement that another country, possibly Kuwait, could accede within four to six months. This comes after Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025, the first expansion since the original 2020 signatories. Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile prospect but faces persistent hurdles, including Riyadh’s insistence on a credible Palestinian statehood pathway before normalization and recent defense ties with Pakistan that complicate sequencing. U.S. officials have tied Saudi civil nuclear cooperation to Abraham Accords membership, yet no breakthrough has materialized. Other mentioned possibilities include Azerbaijan, Oman, or post-Hezbollah-disarmament Lebanon, though none have advanced concrete timelines. Trader focus centers on whether Kuwaiti talks accelerate amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli diplomatic pressure before year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,667,968
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kuwait" con 9%, seguido de "Arabia Saudita" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 9¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 9% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" ha generado $1.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es "Kuwait" con solo 9%, con "Arabia Saudita" muy cerca con 9%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.